Winter Storm #Aubrey Breakdown

started by AndyMoserWX, October 8, 2019
3 replies to this discussion
  • Member

    The Weather Channel officially named Winter Storm #Aubrey, just after 4:00 P.M. CDT this afternoon.  She impacts parts of the northern Rockies and Plains late Tuesday evening through Saturday.  She has exceeded the criteria for both population (2,000,000+ people) and area coverage (400,000+ square kilometers).

    Winter storm watches and warnings are already in place in Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, western South Dakota, northwest Nebraska, North Dakota, and far northwest Minnesota due to the threat of heavy snow in those areas.  Expect additional watches and warnings come in the days ahead.

    Accumulating snow occurs from both Idaho and Montana to Colorado to the Dakotas, Minnesota, and northern Wisconsin.  Parts of the Dakotas and northwest Minnesota could pick up over a foot of snow.  In fact, the eastern part of North Dakota could get up to one yard (three feet) of snowfall from late Wednesday night through Saturday afternoon.

    In addition, both strong winds and heavy, wet snow could produce damage to trees and/or power outages.

    @haleybrennan and @alexwilson, STORM:CON values are already at least 6 (enhanced) with some areas possibly reaching a value of 10 (high).  Both the specific values and their respective areas are as follows:

    • 9 (high): eastern one-half of North Dakota (could climb to 10 in later forecasts); north-central South Dakota
    • 8 (moderate): central one-third of North Dakota; western, central, and northeast South Dakota (including Mount Rushmore)
    • 7 (moderate): southwest and south-central Montana; northern Wyoming; northwest Nebraska
    • 6 (enhanced): north-central and central Colorado, including Denver; far western Minnesota

    #Aubrey is no winter storm to mess with.  Please spread the word to everyone you know (e.g., relatives, colleagues, friends); moreover, use any form of communication possible to relay this message.  Thank you.  #winterishere ⛄❄

  • Member

    @haleybrennan and @alexwilson, I have updated the STORM:CON values as of 2:15 P.M. this afternoon.  The STORM:CON value is now ten (10) for the eastern one-third of North Dakota.  It is due to crippling travel, agricultural impacts, snow drifts of up to five feet in some areas, and probable power outages.  The updated STORM:CON values appear below.

    • 10 (high): eastern one-third of North Dakota
    • 9 (high): far northwest Minnesota; far north-central and northeast South Dakota; central one-third of North Dakota, including Bismarck
    • 8 (moderate): western and central South Dakota, including Mount Rushmore
    • 7 (moderate): southwest and south-central Montana; eastern Wyoming; northwest North Dakota; northwest Nebraska
    • 6 (enhanced): north-central and central Colorado, including Denver; far western Minnesota

    Please do not take Winter Storm #Aubrey lightly.  Likewise, please spread this new update to everyone you know (e.g., relatives, colleagues, friends); in fact, use any form of communication possible to relay this latest update.  Thank you.  #winterishere ⛄❄

  • Member

    @liana-brackett and @haleybrennan, only minor changes to the STORM:CON values for Winter Storm #Aubrey occur as of 7:30 P.M. CDT this evening.  North-central Colorado (north of Denver) now has a STORM:CON value of 7 (moderate).  Other values stay the same.  Please spread the latest update to those you know using any form of communication possible.  Thank you.  #winterishere ⛄❄

    • 10 (high): eastern one-third of North Dakota
    • 9 (high): far northwest Minnesota; far north-central and northeast South Dakota; central one-third of North Dakota, including Bismarck
    • 8 (moderate): western and central South Dakota, including Mount Rushmore
    • 7 (moderate): southwest and south-central Montana; eastern Wyoming; north-central Colorado (minus Denver); northwest North Dakota; northwest Nebraska
    • 6 (enhanced): central Colorado, including Denver; far western Minnesota
  • Member

    Winter was early to start it looked like, Andy! To those living in these areas, stay warm in those treacherous conditions.

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